Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. () saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Live Nation Entertainment’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
Is Live Nation Entertainment still cheap?
According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 24%, trading at US$84.28 compared to my intrinsic value of $67.73. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Live Nation Entertainment’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from Live Nation Entertainment?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 53% over the next year, the near-term future seems bright for Live Nation Entertainment. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? LYV’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe LYV should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on LYV for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for LYV, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
So while earnings quality is important, it’s equally important to consider the risks facing Live Nation Entertainment at this point in time. At Simply Wall St, we foundand we think they deserve your attention.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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