Times Now Opinion poll 2021: TMC to retain Bengal, LDF Kerala; tough fight in Assam, DMK back in TN |

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NEW DELHI: The Trinamool Congress will scrape past the majority mark in West Bengal but will face stiff competition from the BJP while the DMK-Congress alliance will topple the ruling AIADMK in Tamil Nadu, according to the latest opinion poll released by Times Now-CVoter for the poll-bound states.
In Kerala, the opinion poll predicted that the ruling LDF will manage to retain power while in Puducherry, which is under President’s rule, the NDA will make a return.

In Assam, the BJP-led NDA will manage to thwart off a united opposition led by the Congress, it predicted.
Here’s what the opinion polls projected just three days before voting kicks off …
West Bengal
According to the Times Now-CVoter opinion poll, the Mamata Banerjee-led TMC will see a significant dip in its seat share but will manage to form the government by winning 160 seats in the 294-member assembly.
In 2016, the ruling party had won 211 seats.
Meanwhile, the BJP, which is the principal challenger this year, will make major gains in the state and win 112 seats. This is a major surge from its tally of just 3 seats in the 2016 elections.

The opinion poll also predicted major losses for the Congress and Left, which are contesting the elections together.
It said that Congress-Left-ISF alliance will collectively bag just 22 seats in the assembly.
However, according to the polls, West Bengal chief minister Mamata Banerjee continues to be the most popular leader in the state.
Nearly 55% of the respondents said that the TMC chief is their preferred choice for the top post. She was followed by BJP leaders Dilip Ghosh (32.3%) and Mukul Roy (6.5%).
Tamil Nadu
The opinion poll predicted that the DMK-Congress alliance is all set to storm back to power in the southern state, winning 177 seats in the 234-member assembly.
It predicted that ruling AIADMK-BJP alliance will see a big dip in its seat share tally and will manage to win just 49 seats this year, down from 136 in 2016.

The opinion poll also projected three seats apiece for the debutant Kamal Haasan-led MNM and TTV Dhinakaran’s AMMK.
The respondents also voted in favour of DMK chief MK Stalin as their preferred choice of chief minister.
Stalin got 43.1% of the votes while incumbent CM E K Palaniswami got just 29.7% of the votes.
Assam
Assam is set to witness a close fight between the NDA and UPA, with the BJP-led alliance winning by a thin margin, according to the projections.
The opinion poll has projected 69 seats for the ruling NDA in the 126-member assembly and 56 for the Congress-led UPA.

This year, the Congress is contesting the elections in alliance with Badruddin Ajmal’s All India United Democratic Front (AIUDF), Bodo People’s Front and three Left parties.
The NDA comprises BJP and Asom Gana Parishad (AGP).
In 2016, the NDA had stormed to power in the state by winning 86 seats while the UPA had managed just 26.
Incumbent chief minister Sarbananda Sonowal is the most popular choice for the top post in the state.
Over 46% of the respondents saw him as the most suitable candidate. He was followed by Congress’s Gaurav Gogoi (25.2%)
Kerala
The opinion poll has also predicted a keen battle in Kerala, with the ruling LDF managing to hold on to power.
It said that Pinarayi Vijayan-led alliance will win 77 seats in the 140-member assembly, down from its tally of 91 in 2016.

The Congress-led UDF will improve on its 2016 tally of 47 and is expected to win 62 seats this year, the opinion polls predicted.
However, it won’t be enough to topple the ruling alliance.
Meanwhile, the BJP is not expected to make any gains this year and is likely to win just one seat, like it did in 2016.
Vijayan also continues to be the preferred pick for the CM post with 39.3% of the respondents voting in his favour.
Congress leader and former CM Oomen Chandy got 26.5% of the votes.
Puducherry
In Puducherry, the NDA will storm back to power by winning 21 seats in the 30-member House, as per the opinion polls.
The NDA comprises BJP, All India NR Congress (AINRC) and AIADMK.

On the other hand, the Congress-DMK alliance, which lost power in the state after failing the trust vote, will manage to win just 9 seats this year, it said.
AINRC’s N Rangasamy emerged as the most popular choice for the post of CM with nearly 50% of the respondents choosing him for the top post.
The Union Territory is currently under President’s rule.
Elections to begin on March 27
Voting in Tamil Nadu, Kerala and Puducherry will be held in a single phase on April 6. Assam will vote in three phases from March 27 to April 6. West Bengal will vote in eight phases from March 27 to April 29.
Counting of votes in all the five states/UT will take place on May 2.

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